Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays (-210, 8)
It’s hard to put into words exactly how bad the Orioles are on the road this season, but let’s try.
Baltimore,
2-8 over its past 10 overall, is just 13-34 on the road this season,
the second worst mark in the Majors. The Orioles are hitting.252 on the
road this year, but have a horrific .306 on-base percentage. The absurd
lack of base runners is especially evident as the team has mustered a
meager 165 runs in 47 away games.
"It's not the same as far as
starting the season with the opportunity that we had,'' Orioles
outfielder Luke Scott told the Baltimore Sun, "but I'm excited to see
what we can do with the situation we've been dealt and how we can make
the most of it."
But excitement doesn’t score runs. The Orioles
are 0-9 against the Blue Jays this season, with the defeats coming by an
average of 3.2 runs per game. Also, eight of the team’s nine meetings
this season have fallen under the total.
Pick: Blue Jays
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers (-135, 8)
The Brewers aren’t a great team, but they can hit the hell out of right-handed pitching.
Milwaukee
is third in the Majors with 364 runs scored against righties, hitting
.266 against them with a whopping 96 home runs. The power in the lineup
has been a huge reason the team has stayed within striking distance of
.500 and is 7-3 in its past 10 overall.
And guess who the Brew Crew faces on the bump? Edinson Volquez.
The
Red’s power pitcher was on the disabled list for most of the season
before making his debut two weeks ago. In two starts he is 1-1 with a
putrid 7.56 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP. Oh, and he’s right-handed.
Volquez’s
only start in Miller Park last year also was a disaster. In just five
innings he gave up six earned runs on seven hits, including two home
runs with four walks against four strikeouts.
Pick: Brewers
Streaking
Carl Pavano (12-6, 3.26 ERA), Minnesota Twins
It’s
amazing how Pavano had so many injury issues in New York City, since he
is developing into one of the strongest workhorses in the American
League.
Pavano has tossed two straight complete games – yielding
only two runs and 12 hits while striking out 10 over 18 innings – to
raise his total to five on the season, the second most in the AL. He
also has amassed a staggering 143.2 innings this season, the third-most
in the league.
The right-hander has a microscopic, 1.01 WHIP, and
has posted eight quality starts over his past 10 outings. The Twins
also are huge fans when he takes the bump as the team is 8-2 in his
previous 10 starts.
John Lackey (9-5, 4.36 ERA), Red Sox
Lackey was the No. 1 starter on the Angels last year but has looked nothing like a staff ace since he came to Boston.
However, the past two starts have been huge for him, including taking a no-hitter into the eighth inning against Seattle.
The
team expected bigger things from him this year, but consistency will be
even more important for the right-hander. Over his past two outings he
has yielded only two earned runs over 15 innings, including nine
strikeouts against just three walks. Equally as important, the team has
won three of his past five starts and Lackey has lasted at least six
innings in nine of his past 10 outings.
Slumping
Gio Gonzalez (9-6, 3.75 ERA), Oakland Athletics
The right-hander has a respectable ERA and a nice win-loss record, but has struggled in his past three outings.
"You
have to get ahead of the hitters. If I fall behind on them they're
going to do the job," Gonzalez told the Associated Press. "When you fall
behind it just spirals out of control. I should have taken a moment to
step back, take a deep breath and attack the zone."
The
24-year-old has lasted just 17 innings in his past three starts,
yielding 10 earned runs and 22 hits while walking eight against just 11
strikeouts over that span. Surprisingly enough, however, the under has
hit in three of his past five starts.
Ryan Rowland-Smith (1-9, 6.27 ERA), Seattle Mariners
The Mariners might simply be better trotting out a pitching machine than using Rowland-Smith.
The
left-hander has been especially abysmal in his past three starts,
giving up 17 runs on 22 hits over just 13.1 innings. Even worse, he has
given up two home runs and handed out three walks over that span.
Through
18 starts this year, he has lasted a meager 93.1 innings and has a
horrific 38-38 strikeout to walk ratio. In his past 10 outings overall,
the Mariners are an absurd 1-9.
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